Large No position amid sharp repricing

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 26, 2026 If GNK Dinamo Zagreb wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A trader with a weak historical record is adding heavily to No as an unusually large volume spike accompanies a sharp 27% decline in Yes pricing.
Total
$12,533
Trades
3
Win Rate
49%
Wallet P&L
+$382,173
Analysis
- The wallet has committed roughly $38,700 to No, including a fresh $7,978 purchase at 69¢.
- Yes pricing fell about 27% beyond its prior range while volume reached 173 times its historical average.
- The trader is profitable overall but has only won 46% of 74 resolved bets, so the market move is more compelling than the bettor’s track record.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 69¢
Detected August 26, 2026 at 8:10 PM