Serial bettor buys Yes in thin market

In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Mirassol FC and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for August 30 at 6:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Mirassol FC and SE Palmeiras each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on cbf.com.br. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly active, profitable cross-market bettor made a sizable Yes purchase in a thin market despite paying above current odds.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
74%
Wallet P&L
+$593,860
Analysis
- This bettor has won 73% of 506 resolved trades and is up $579,832 lifetime.
- The $2,000 Yes position represents about 41% of 24-hour volume in a relatively thin market.
- The bettor paid 55¢, implying substantially more confidence than the market’s current 48% Yes price.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 55¢
Detected August 30, 2026 at 11:08 PM