Serial trader moves thin-market No

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 30, 2026 If FC Dallas wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market trader placed a large, market-moving No bet in a very thin FC Dallas market, though the wallet's historical edge is modest.
Total
$2,583
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
-$6,384,821
Analysis
- This trader has participated in 2,563 markets with $115 million in total volume.
- The $2,583 No bet represented 102% of the market's 24-hour volume and preceded a move from 69% to 84%.
- The wallet has a 61% win rate and is up $3.27 million, but its historical edge is not especially strong relative to its 65¢ average winning entry.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 69¢
Detected August 30, 2026 at 11:37 PM