Serial trader selling into Yes rally

In the upcoming MLS game between St. Louis City SC and FC Dallas, scheduled for August 30 at 7:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if both St. Louis City SC and FC Dallas each score at least one goal during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if either team fails to score (i.e., if one or both teams finish with zero goals). If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market trader sold Yes after a sharp 25.5-point repricing, creating a notable bearish No setup despite only a modest historical win rate.
Total
$1,040
Trades
1
Win Rate
61%
Wallet P&L
+$161,631
Analysis
- This wallet has traded across 66 events and 99 markets, with $470,325 in total activity.
- The Yes price jumped 25.5 percentage points in five minutes before the $1,040 sell, suggesting a notable reversal setup.
- The trade sold Yes at 76¢, equivalent to buying No at 24¢ while the market currently prices No at 27%.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 24¢
Detected August 30, 2026 at 11:43 PM