94% winner makes thin-market Kalinina bet

This market refers to the tennis match between Anhelina Kalinina and Himeno Sakatsume in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Kalinina" if Anhelina Kalinina wins by 2 or more sets than Himeno Sakatsume, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Sakatsume." If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the deciding set has begun when the match ends, Anhelina Kalinina can no longer win by 2 or more sets, and this market will resolve to "Sakatsume." If the match is canceled before play begins, or a result has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam results.
A highly profitable serial trader with a 94% win rate made a concentrated $4,400 bet in an exceptionally thin tennis handicap market.
Total
$4,400
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$8,974,803
Analysis
- This bettor has won 94% of 543 resolved positions and is up $8.7 million.
- The $4,400 Kalinina bet is more than 2,000 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin book.
- The position was entered at 54¢ while the market is now 51¢, offering a potential copy entry below the bettor’s price.
Copy Trade
Buy Kalinina at 54¢
Detected August 31, 2026 at 3:24 PM