Serial trader makes oversized No bet

In the upcoming game, scheduled for August 31, 2026 If Real Sociedad de Fútbol B wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced serial trader placed a large No bet worth over eleven times the market's recent daily volume, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average winning entry price.
Total
$2,699
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$7,272,651
Analysis
- This trader has resolved 59,762 positions, a 71% win rate, and over $6.2M in reported profit.
- The $2,699 No bet was more than 11 times the market's recent 24-hour volume, showing strong conviction.
- The position entered at 79¢, close to the current 78% No probability, so the trade signals confidence more than an obvious bargain.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 79¢
Detected August 31, 2026 at 3:49 PM