Sharp bettor fades Arnaldi

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable serial trader with an 81% win rate made a contrarian $4,000 bet on Duckworth at 40%, despite the market now pricing him near 20%.
Total
$4,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
81%
Wallet P&L
+$6,303,511
Analysis
- This bettor wins 81% of 2,604 resolved trades and has earned $5.9 million.
- They placed $4,000 on James Duckworth at 40%, a strong contrarian position against the market's current 20% price.
- The wallet has traded across 727 events, providing a substantial track record beyond this single match.
Copy Trade
Buy James Duckworth at 40¢
Detected August 31, 2026 at 6:08 PM