Sharp bettor scaling into Arnaldi

This market refers to the tennis match between Matteo Arnaldi and James Duckworth in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Matteo Arnaldi' if Matteo Arnaldi advances against James Duckworth. This market will resolve to 'James Duckworth' if James Duckworth advances against Matteo Arnaldi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven bettor with an 88% win rate and substantial positive edge is adding to an Arnaldi position initially entered at 49%.
Total
$5,209
Trades
1
Win Rate
76%
Wallet P&L
+$29,482
Analysis
- This bettor wins 88% of resolved bets and is up $19,490 lifetime.
- They are adding $3,443 to Arnaldi at 49%, despite already investing $7,029 in the same outcome.
- The position has already moved from 49% to roughly 60%, while the bet represented about half of recent market volume.
Copy Trade
Buy Matteo Arnaldi at 49¢
Detected August 31, 2026 at 6:22 PM