Sharp bettor fades the favorite

This market refers to the tennis match between Noah Thurner and Linus Lagerbohm in the M15 Szczawno, Main Draw, originally scheduled for September 1, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Noah Thurner' if Noah Thurner advances against Linus Lagerbohm. This market will resolve to 'Linus Lagerbohm' if Linus Lagerbohm advances against Noah Thurner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the International Tennis Federation (ITF). A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven bettor with an 82% win rate and substantial edge sold the 62% favorite, implying a contrarian buy on Noah Thurner at roughly 38%.
Total
$1,033
Trades
1
Win Rate
84%
Wallet P&L
+$9,401
Analysis
- This bettor wins 82% of resolved trades—42 of 51—with $7,258 in realized profit.
- Selling Linus Lagerbohm at 62¢ implies buying Noah Thurner near 38¢, despite Noah being priced as the underdog.
- The $1,033 trade represents nearly half of the market’s 24-hour volume in a thin, wide-spread market.
Copy Trade
Buy Noah Thurner at 38¢
Detected September 1, 2026 at 1:36 PM