Large bettor in a thin market

In the upcoming game, scheduled for September 1, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A $5,870 concentrated bet in a very thin market bought No at 75% before the price rose to 99%, though the wallet's track record is only moderately informative.
Total
$5,870
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$10,189,423
Analysis
- The $5,870 No bet represented roughly 83,600% of the detected 24-hour volume.
- No rose from 75% to 99% after the trade, strongly corroborating the bettor's direction.
- The wallet has placed related bets across three markets, but its 56% win rate is not independently sharp.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 75¢
Detected September 1, 2026 at 8:10 PM