Profitable serial bettor moves thin tennis market
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Fery and Lorenzo Musetti in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Fery” if Arthur Fery wins the first set. It will resolve to “Musetti” if Lorenzo Musetti wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
A serial cross-market bettor with a $46.6M lifetime profit placed a $3,478 fresh bet at 58% in an extremely thin market, and the outcome has since moved to 90%.
Total
$3,478
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$50,166,979
Analysis
- This bettor is up $46.6M lifetime across 50,134 resolved bets, though the 66% win rate is only modestly above the 62% average winning entry price.
- The $3,478 Musetti bet was over 43 times the market’s prior 24-hour volume and exceeded the available liquidity, signaling strong conviction in a very thin book.
- Musetti has since risen from 58% to 90%, corroborating the direction, but the current price leaves little room for a new entry.
Copy Trade
Buy Musetti at 58¢
Detected September 1, 2026 at 9:11 PM