Thin-market event bettor

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies, scheduled for September 1 at 8:40 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Baltimore Orioles and Colorado Rockies combine to score 11 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 11, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A sizable Under bet dominates a thin, wide-spread MLB market and is part of a four-market event thesis, though the wallet's long-term record is only modestly profitable.
Total
$3,734
Trades
1
Win Rate
55%
Wallet P&L
+$3,721,381
Analysis
- A $3,734 Under bet is more than twice the market's reported liquidity, signaling meaningful conviction in a thin book.
- The wallet has positioned across four markets in the same event, totaling nearly $21,000.
- Its 54% win rate across 41,277 resolved bets is profitable but does not indicate an exceptional edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 47¢
Detected September 2, 2026 at 5:06 AM