Serial sharp fades the favorite

This market refers to the tennis match between Botic van de Zandschulp and Alex de Minaur in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 4:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Botic van de Zandschulp' if Botic van de Zandschulp advances against Alex de Minaur. This market will resolve to 'Alex de Minaur' if Alex de Minaur advances against Botic van de Zandschulp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A proven 83% winner with a 26% edge and extensive cross-market activity is selling the 74% favorite, implying a contrarian buy on Alex de Minaur at 26%.
Total
$1,480
Trades
1
Win Rate
77%
Wallet P&L
+$59,447
Analysis
- This bettor wins 83% of trades, is up $37,436, and has beaten implied odds by 26 percentage points.
- The wallet has traded 46 markets across 42 events, suggesting a repeatable edge rather than a one-off wager.
- Selling Botic at 74¢ converts to buying Alex de Minaur at roughly 26¢ after the favorite surged 54.5% in one day.
Copy Trade
Buy Alex de Minaur at 26¢
Detected September 4, 2026 at 12:15 AM