Smart Money SignalScore: 2.1
Whale-sized bet in thin market
In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 4 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Toledo and Michigan State combine to score 57 or more points in this game. If the combined total is less than 57, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
A $1,729 Under bet overwhelms an exceptionally thin market, making it notable despite the wallet's lack of a clearly superior win rate.
Total
$1,729
Trades
1
Win Rate
56%
Wallet P&L
+$9,248,861
Analysis
- A $1,729 bet is more than 1,300 times the reported 24-hour volume and exceeds the market's displayed liquidity.
- The bettor is highly active and profitable overall, with $9.1 million in lifetime profit, but a 56% win rate at 68¢ average winning prices is not clear evidence of a sharp edge.
- Under was bought at 67¢ and has since moved to 74%, though the market remains extremely wide with a 15-point bid-ask spread.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 67¢
Detected September 5, 2026 at 12:00 PM