Serial trader makes thin-market bet
This market refers to the tennis match between Alexander Blockx and Flavio Cobolli in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 5, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Blockx” if Alexander Blockx wins the first set. It will resolve to “Cobolli” if Flavio Cobolli wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by September 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Grand Slam match statistics.
A serial trader placed a $4.5K concentrated bet in an exceptionally thin market, though the wallet's long-term record offers only modest evidence of edge.
Total
$4,538
Trades
2
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$48,653,945
Analysis
- This wallet committed $4,538 to Cobolli in a market with only $1,017 liquidity and no reported 24-hour volume.
- The trader has made bets across 6,376 markets and won 65% of 52,420 resolved positions, though that is only modestly above its 62% average winning price.
- Cobolli was bought at 46¢ and is now priced around 61%, indicating the position has moved strongly in its favor.
Copy Trade
Buy Cobolli at 46¢
Detected September 5, 2026 at 5:38 PM