Sharp bettor adds to No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
A proven bettor with a 79% win rate and substantial edge added $1,163 to No in a thin, wide-spread market.
Total
$1,163
Trades
1
Win Rate
79%
Wallet P&L
+$19,969
Analysis
- This bettor has won 79% of 42 resolved positions and is up nearly $20,000.
- They added $1,163 to No at 76¢ in a market with only $737 liquidity and a 5¢ spread.
- The existing No position and favorable price movement to 84¢ suggest increasing conviction that the yield will not dip below 4.61%.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 76¢
Detected September 9, 2026 at 3:47 PM