Profitable bettor makes oversized thin-market bet

This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Siniakova/Townsend and Mertens/Shnaider in the US Open WTA, originally scheduled for September 9, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Siniakova/Townsend' if the team of Siniakova/Townsend advances against Mertens/Shnaider. This market will resolve to 'Mertens/Shnaider' if the team of Mertens/Shnaider advances against Siniakova/Townsend. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable, highly active bettor placed a $30,213 position in a very thin market, though the price has since moved against the trade.
Total
$30,213
Trades
2
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$66,917,520
Analysis
- This bettor is up $48.4 million across 55,810 resolved trades and has a 65% win rate.
- The $30,213 buy was more than 16 times the reported 24-hour volume in a market with only $902 liquidity.
- The position entered at 84¢, but the outcome has since fallen to about 75%, so the trade carries meaningful mark-to-market risk.
Copy Trade
Buy Siniakova/Townsend at 84¢
Detected September 9, 2026 at 9:09 PM