Serial trader caught Under move

In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Moreirense FC and Sport Lisboa e Benfica, scheduled for September 9 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Moreirense FC and Sport Lisboa e Benfica combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligaportugal.pt. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A serial cross-market trader with 815 resolved bets bought Under at 85 cents before the price jumped 29 points to 100 cents, though the historical win rate does not clearly exceed the average winning entry price.
Total
$1,409
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$288,437
Analysis
- The trader has 815 resolved bets, a 70% win rate, and $287,000 in lifetime profit.
- A $1,409 Under purchase at 85¢ preceded a 29-percentage-point price jump, with Under now priced at 100¢.
- The trader’s win rate is respectable, but below the 77¢ average winning entry price, so the long-term edge is not definitive.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 85¢
Detected September 9, 2026 at 9:50 PM