92% winner backs magic

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket final match between Alliance and magic in the FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B, initially scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win the match against magic. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic win the match against Alliance. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before September 24, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of September 10, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A highly proven bettor with a 92% win rate and $1.5M profit placed a $15,000 fresh wager on magic in an extremely low-volume market.
Total
$15,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
92%
Wallet P&L
+$1,516,202
Analysis
- This bettor has won 348 of 380 resolved positions, with $1.5M in profit and a substantial edge over typical market odds.
- The $15,000 buy on magic represents more than 30 times the market's recent 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
- The entry at 63¢ is close to the current 62% implied probability, so the trade is most attractive only near the original price.
Copy Trade
Buy magic at 63¢
Detected September 10, 2026 at 10:23 AM