Serial bettor makes large Under wager

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Manchester United FC and Sabah FK, scheduled for September 10 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Sabah FK score 1 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Sabah FK score less than 1 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Sabah FK's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A highly experienced serial trader placed a large Under bet in a quiet sports market, though the wallet's 70% win rate does not clearly exceed its typical 75% entry price.
Total
$2,706
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$7,272,651
Analysis
- This bettor has traded 71,135 resolved positions across 2,392 events and is up $6.7M overall.
- The $2,706 Under bet was over 15 times the detected 24-hour volume, showing meaningful conviction in a relatively quiet market.
- The wallet wins 70% of bets but typically enters around 75¢, so its historical edge here is less compelling than its size and experience suggest.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 53¢
Detected September 10, 2026 at 5:38 PM