Four-wallet contrarian Under cluster

In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between CS Independiente Rivadavia and CA Aldosivi, scheduled for September 12 at 1:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CS Independiente Rivadavia and CA Aldosivi combine to score 5 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 5, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on afa.com.ar. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Four wallets created a sizable Under-equivalent position in a thin market, but the trade is highly contrarian after Under fell from roughly 46% to 22%.
Total
$15,546
Trades
7
Analysis
- Four wallets placed $15,546 of Under-equivalent exposure in a market with only $15,702 of liquidity.
- The move drew an enormous volume spike and pushed Over up 23 percentage points, making the Under positioning notably contrarian.
- The largest participant wins 70% of 74,583 resolved bets, but its typical winning entry is 76%, so this specific edge is not proven.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 38¢
Detected September 12, 2026 at 6:48 PM