Whale conviction in thin market

In the upcoming Eredivisie game between Fortuna Sittard and AFC Ajax, scheduled for September 12 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Fortuna Sittard and AFC Ajax combine to score 6 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 6, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on eredivisie.nl. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
A large $2.8K Under position consumed several times the detected 24-hour volume in a thin market, and the price has since risen from 53-54% to 76%.
Total
$2,825
Trades
2
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$10,189,423
Analysis
- This trader put $2,825 on Under at 53-54%, representing over seven times the detected 24-hour volume.
- Under has since risen to 76%, strongly corroborating the direction of the bet.
- The wallet has a large lifetime profit, though its 56% win rate is not an especially strong standalone edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 54¢
Detected September 12, 2026 at 8:04 PM