Whale moves a paper-thin market

In the upcoming MLB game between the Seattle Mariners and Athletics, scheduled for September 13 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Seattle Mariners" if the Seattle Mariners win the game by 3 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Athletics". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
A highly profitable but not demonstrably sharp trader placed nearly $5,000 into a market with only $113 liquidity, driving a 35-point daily move.
Total
$9,757
Trades
2
Win Rate
56%
Wallet P&L
+$3,272,079
Analysis
- Nearly $5,000 was used to buy Seattle at 72¢ in a market showing just $113 of liquidity.
- The position helped drive a 35-percentage-point rise over the past day, signaling substantial directional conviction.
- This trader is up $3.24 million lifetime, though its 56% win rate does not clearly establish an edge at the 67¢ average winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy Seattle Mariners at 72¢
Detected September 13, 2026 at 10:10 PM