95% winner backs Honda

This market will resolve to "Nikoloz Basilashvili" if Nikoloz Basilashvili wins 4.5 or more total games than Naoya Honda in the upcoming tennis match, scheduled for September 15, 2026 at 6:30AM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Naoya Honda". Games won will be counted across all sets played in the match. A set decided by a tiebreak will count as one game for the winner of that tiebreak, and a match tiebreak played in place of a final set will also count as one game for its winner. If the match is canceled (not played at all), or is delayed beyond 14 days from the scheduled date without completion at 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed due to retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve 50-50, unless the outcome of this market has already been unconditionally determined by the completed portion of play. For example, if the match ends at a point where Nikoloz Basilashvili could no longer have finished 4.5 or more games ahead even by winning every remaining game, this market will resolve to "Naoya Honda". If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable bettor with a 95% win rate and substantial historical edge made a large fresh bet in an exceptionally thin market.
Total
$2,000
Trades
1
Win Rate
93%
Wallet P&L
+$1,185,034
Analysis
- This bettor has won 95% of 497 resolved positions and is up $512,000 lifetime.
- The $2,000 Honda bet was nearly 20 times the market’s 24-hour volume, signaling strong conviction in a thin market.
- The wallet is a serial cross-market trader spanning 367 events and $645,000 in total activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Naoya Honda at 60¢
Detected September 16, 2026 at 7:40 AM