Serial trader hits thin market

In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for September 16 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LDU de Quito". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A highly experienced serial cross-market trader placed a concentrated $1,443 bet in a very thin market, although the wallet’s overall win rate does not clearly exceed its typical purchase odds.
Total
$1,443
Trades
1
Win Rate
71%
Wallet P&L
+$7,272,651
Analysis
- This wallet has traded 82,329 resolved positions and is up $6.8 million overall.
- The $1,443 bet exceeded the market’s entire $1,321 in 24-hour volume, signaling meaningful conviction in LDU de Quito.
- The position was bought at 88¢ and has already moved to roughly 90¢, but the wallet’s 70% win rate is below its 76¢ average winning entry price.
Copy Trade
Buy LDU de Quito at 88¢
Detected September 16, 2026 at 10:21 PM