Smart Money SignalScore: 4.7

Profitable bettor adds to No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and September 30, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for September 30, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for September 30, 2026 by October 14, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

A proven bettor with a 77% win rate and substantial positive P&L is adding $1,012 to an existing No position in a thin market, though the 90¢ entry leaves limited upside.

Total

$1,012

Trades

1

Win Rate

77%

Wallet P&L

+$23,112

Analysis

Copy Trade

Buy No at 90¢

Fed RatesEconomyFinanceTreasuries
View all alerts for Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.76% in September?

Detected September 18, 2026 at 12:41 PM

Profitable bettor adds to No | PolySpotter