93% winner sells Badosa
This market refers to the tennis match between Mary Stoiana and Paula Badosa in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 18, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Mary Stoiana' if Mary Stoiana advances against Paula Badosa. This market will resolve to 'Paula Badosa' if Paula Badosa advances against Mary Stoiana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable 93% win-rate bettor led a three-wallet sell-off of Paula Badosa at 87¢, creating a notable contrarian position on Mary Stoiana despite two wallets taking profits.
Total
$11,805
Trades
3
Analysis
- The largest trade came from a bettor with a 93% win rate and $2.55M lifetime profit, buying Mary exposure indirectly by selling Badosa at 87¢.
- Three wallets sold $11,805 of Paula Badosa during a 300x historical volume spike, despite Badosa holding 86% market odds.
- Two participants had previously bought Badosa, so part of the flow appears to be profit-taking rather than entirely fresh conviction.
Copy Trade
Buy Mary Stoiana at 13¢
Detected September 18, 2026 at 9:48 PM