Experienced bettor makes oversized Under bet

In the upcoming MLB game between the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles, scheduled for September 18 at 7:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if the Milwaukee Brewers and Baltimore Orioles combine to score 8 or more runs in this game. If the combined total is less than 8, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
An extremely experienced trader placed a $7,175 Under bet in a thin market, representing over ten times the recent volume despite only modest historical edge.
Total
$7,175
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$50,153,972
Analysis
- A trader with 62,671 resolved bets and $50 million in lifetime profit bought Under at 44¢.
- The $7,175 position represents 1,083% of reported 24-hour volume and exceeds the market's $4,914 liquidity.
- The bet is on Under, which currently trades around 42%, but the trader's 64% win rate is only modestly above their 62¢ average winning entry price.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 44¢
Detected September 18, 2026 at 11:19 PM