Three-market Serbia position with rapid repricing

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for October 1 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Germany" if Germany win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Serbia". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A $1,764 Serbia bet is supported by a 24-point rapid price rise and $11,103 of cross-market positioning across three related markets, though the wallet's record does not clearly outperform its average winning odds.
Total
$1,764
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$12,208,461
Analysis
- The wallet placed $11,103 across three related markets, including $1,764 on Serbia.
- Serbia’s price rose 24 percentage points in under five minutes, backing the direction of the bet.
- The wallet has a large profitable history, but its 71% win rate is below its 77% average winning price, so the record alone is not strong evidence of an edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Serbia at 60¢
Detected October 1, 2026 at 8:43 PM