Serial trader amid sharp Under move

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Germany and Serbia, scheduled for October 1 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Germany and Serbia combine to score 3 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 3, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on uefa.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A serial cross-market trader's Under buy coincided with a 76.5x volume spike and a 40-point price move, though the wallet's win rate is not strong relative to its average winning price.
Total
$1,009
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$75,225
Analysis
- A 76.5x volume spike and a 40-point move toward Under accompanied this $1,009 buy.
- The trader has placed bets across 78 events and is up $55,412 lifetime, though its 67% win rate is less compelling against an 82¢ average winning price.
- The trade entered at 88¢; the market now shows Under at 100%, leaving little room to copy at a favorable price.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 88¢
Detected October 1, 2026 at 8:43 PM