Three-wallet Alliance buying cluster

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper Bracket Semifinal 1 match between Nemiga and Alliance in the Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win Map 2 against Alliance. This market will resolve to "Alliance" if Alliance win Map 2 against Nemiga. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 16, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 2, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Three wallets bought $6,007 of Alliance during a 39.8x volume spike, including a prolific trader with a 75% record, though the market has since moved sharply against them.
Total
$6,007
Trades
4
Analysis
- Three wallets committed about $6,000 to Alliance during a 39.8x volume spike.
- One of the bettors has a 75% win rate across 623 resolved bets and is up about $1.5M.
- Alliance is now priced at 22%, well below their 32–49¢ entries, so the trade has moved against them.
Copy Trade
Buy Alliance at 41¢
Detected October 2, 2026 at 7:50 PM