Profitable bettor adds after breakout

This market refers to the Valorant Decider match between Karmine Corp and Nongshim RedForce in the VCT Champions Group D, initially scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win Map 2 against Nongshim RedForce. This market will resolve to "Nongshim RedForce" if Nongshim RedForce win Map 2 against Karmine Corp. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 2 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 2. If Map 2 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 17, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 3, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://vlr.gg. However, if https://vlr.gg has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A $1,125 Nongshim buy at 75¢ coincided with a sharp breakout to 92¢, though the wallet’s near-even win rate and existing positions on both outcomes temper the signal.
Total
$1,125
Trades
1
Win Rate
50%
Wallet P&L
+$379,273
Analysis
- The bettor bought Nongshim at 75¢, and the price has since climbed to 92¢.
- The wallet is up $337,721 across 6,900 resolved markets, but its 50% win rate is not a strong edge by itself.
- The bettor already held sizable positions on both teams, so this add is less clear-cut than a fresh one-sided bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Nongshim RedForce at 75¢
Detected October 3, 2026 at 1:13 PM