Serial bettor makes a thin-market bet

In the upcoming Primera División Argentina game between AA Argentinos Juniors and CA Tigre, scheduled for October 3 at 6:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if AA Argentinos Juniors and CA Tigre combine to score 3 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If the combined first-half total is less than 3 goals, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A sizable Under bet accounts for over four times the market’s 24-hour volume, placed by a highly active trader with substantial lifetime profit, though the win rate does not clearly beat the average winning price.
Total
$1,450
Trades
1
Win Rate
72%
Wallet P&L
+$403,164
Analysis
- The $1,450 Under position is more than four times the market’s 24-hour volume, making it a notable move in a quiet market.
- This trader has made 1,015 resolved bets and is up $312,120, though their 70% win rate is below their 78¢ average winning price.
- The listed Under price has moved from 80¢ to 100¢ since entry, so the original entry price may no longer be available.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 80¢
Detected October 4, 2026 at 11:09 PM