Serial trader takes quiet-market Under

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between France and Belgium, scheduled for October 5 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Belgium score 1 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Belgium score less than 1 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Belgium's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A serial, highly active trader placed a $5.3k Under position in a market with only $489 in 24-hour volume, though the wallet’s 71% win rate does not clearly exceed its typical entry odds.
Total
$5,286
Trades
2
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$12,208,461
Analysis
- The trader put $5,285 on Under—more than five times the market’s reported 24-hour volume.
- This wallet has resolved more than 111,000 bets and is up $8.2 million overall, though its 71% win rate alone does not establish an edge here.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 36¢
Detected October 5, 2026 at 6:07 PM