Profitable bettor building a five-market thesis

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Albania and San Marino, scheduled for October 6 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Albania score 3 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If Albania score less than 3 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Albania's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A highly profitable, high-volume bettor made a sizable Under trade that moved a thin market and is part of positioning across five event markets, though the wallet's win rate does not beat its average win price.
Total
$2,398
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$12,208,461
Analysis
- This bettor is up $8.1M across more than 112,000 resolved bets, though its 71% win rate is below its 77¢ average win price.
- The $2,398 Under bet is a substantial share of the market’s $3,209 liquidity and coincides with a reported 26-point price move.
- The wallet has traded across five markets in this event, with $8,384 in combined activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 81¢
Detected October 6, 2026 at 8:26 PM