Profitable serial trader bets into thin market
This market refers to the tennis match between Arthur Gea and Jakub Mensik in the Shanghai Rolex Masters, originally scheduled for October 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Arthur Gea” if Arthur Gea wins the first set. It will resolve to “Jakub Mensik” if Jakub Mensik wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by October 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
A highly experienced, strongly profitable trader placed a sizable bet relative to this thin market, though the odds have since moved against the position.
Total
$1,944
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$66,917,520
Analysis
- This bettor has over 73,000 resolved trades and reports $56 million in profit.
- The $1,944 bet was about half of the market’s 24-hour volume, a sizable position in a thin book.
- Jakub Mensik was bought at 54¢, but the current odds show 38¢, so the market has moved against the bet.
Copy Trade
Buy Jakub Mensik at 54¢
Detected October 13, 2026 at 6:50 AM