Large bettor in a thin market

In the upcoming MLS game between Nashville SC and Sporting Kansas City, scheduled for October 14 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Nashville SC score 2 or more goals in the first half (first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time). If Nashville SC score less than 2 goals in the first half, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on Nashville SC's first-half score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus first-half stoppage time. Second-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
A $1,049 Under bet dwarfs the market’s $71 in 24-hour volume, with additional activity across four related event markets, though the wallet’s track record is not especially strong.
Total
$1,049
Trades
1
Win Rate
53%
Wallet P&L
+$984,129
Analysis
- The $1,049 Under bet is about 15 times the market’s entire reported volume.
- The wallet has positions across four markets in this event, totaling $16,324, but its 54% win rate offers limited evidence of an edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Under at 60¢
Detected October 15, 2026 at 1:02 AM