85% win-rate esports sharp

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Phantom and Ursa in the European Pro League Series 6 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 10 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Phantom" if Phantom win the match against Ursa. This market will resolve to "Ursa" if Ursa win the match against Phantom. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
A highly profitable serial cross-market bettor with an 85% win rate sold Ursa at 63¢, which translates to a buy on Phantom at 37¢ in a reasonably liquid esports market.
Total
$2,685
Trades
1
Win Rate
50%
Wallet P&L
+$140,344
Analysis
- This bettor wins 85% of their trades across 564 resolved markets and is up about $350k
- They trade across 37 related markets in 34 events, which points to a repeatable event-reading edge
- Selling Ursa at 63¢ is the same as buying Phantom at 37¢, near the current 38¢ ask
Copy Trade
Buy Phantom at 37¢
Detected April 10, 2026 at 6:32 AM