Profitable serial cross-market bettor

This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between Team Lynx and Dawn Bulls in the DreamLeague Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Lynx" if Team Lynx win Game 1 against Dawn Bulls. This market will resolve to "Dawn Bulls" if Dawn Bulls win Game 1 against Team Lynx. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all), this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before October 29, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of October 15, 2026 at 6:00 AM ET). If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://www.dotabuff.com. However, if https://www.dotabuff.com has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
A highly profitable serial cross-market trader made a sizable Dawn Bulls bet in an exceptionally thin market, despite the position moving against them.
Total
$3,464
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$1,192,418
Analysis
- This bettor has a 71% win rate across 214 resolved bets and is up about $785K.
- The $3,464 bet was over 270 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume, with only $1,572 in liquidity.
- Dawn Bulls have since fallen to 38%, well below the trader’s 54¢ entry.
Copy Trade
Buy Dawn Bulls at 54¢
Detected October 15, 2026 at 10:36 AM