Profitable serial trader backs Yes
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable, experienced trader placed a $3.4K Yes bet in a very quiet market, though their win rate does not clearly show an edge over the odds paid.
Total
$3,434
Trades
1
Win Rate
60%
Wallet P&L
+$620,011
Analysis
- A $3,434 Yes bet is unusually large here, exceeding the market’s reported $2,767 liquidity while 24-hour volume was just $9.
- This trader is up $593K across 1,626 resolved bets, though their 59% win rate and 88¢ average winning price do not establish a clear odds-adjusted edge.
- The wallet has traded across 165 events, suggesting this is part of an experienced trader’s broader market activity.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 85¢
Detected October 18, 2026 at 4:58 AM