Profitable serial trader adds to No
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly profitable, experienced trader is adding a substantial No position in a very quiet market, though the wallet’s 59% win rate does not by itself establish a strong edge.
Total
$6,566
Trades
2
Win Rate
60%
Wallet P&L
+$620,011
Analysis
- The trader added about $3,100 to No in a market with just $50 in 24-hour volume, and already held a sizable No position.
- This wallet is up about $594,000 across 1,626 resolved bets, although its 59% win rate is not exceptional on its own.
- The alert also includes a Yes bet in another market from the same event, so the trader’s broader event view is not entirely one-sided.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 73¢
Detected October 18, 2026 at 5:01 AM