Proven sharp trimming a large Yes position

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 18, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A proven, highly profitable trader sold nearly $11.9k of Yes while holding a much larger existing Yes position, making this notable as a possible partial profit-taking move rather than clear No conviction.
Total
$20,058
Trades
7
Win Rate
85%
Wallet P&L
+$1,509,097
Analysis
- This bettor has an 86% win rate across 81 resolved positions and is up about $420,000.
- They sold nearly $11,900 of Yes, but already held about $42,500 in Yes shares at a 53¢ average entry—likely trimming rather than making a fresh No bet.
- The Yes price had risen sharply, so the sale is notable as profit-taking; it does not by itself establish a bearish view.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 34¢
Detected October 19, 2026 at 12:37 AM