Profitable high-volume trader in thin market

This market refers to the tennis match between Caty McNally and Sinja Kraus in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Caty McNally” if Caty McNally wins the first set. It will resolve to “Sinja Kraus” if Sinja Kraus wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or play has not begun by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA match statistics. This market may resolve only when the listed period of play has concluded and the result can be definitively determined by the listed resolution source(s).
A highly experienced, substantially profitable trader placed a bet larger than the market’s 24-hour volume, though the price has since moved sharply against the position.
Total
$1,791
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$66,765,883
Analysis
- This trader has 78,000 resolved positions and reports nearly $59M in lifetime profit.
- The $1,791 bet was more than twice the market’s 24-hour volume, but the price has since fallen from 59¢ to 26¢.
- Their 64% win rate is close to their 62¢ average winning price, so the track record alone does not establish a strong edge on this pick.
Copy Trade
Buy Caty McNally at 59¢
Detected October 19, 2026 at 4:59 AM