Profitable whale in a quiet market

This market refers to the tennis match between Andrea Guerrieri and Alex Michelsen in the European Open, originally scheduled for October 19, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Andrea Guerrieri' if Andrea Guerrieri advances against Alex Michelsen. This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Andrea Guerrieri. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A highly experienced, profitable trader placed an $11.1k bet on Michelsen in a market with under $1k in 24-hour volume, though the entry is close to the current odds.
Total
$11,099
Trades
1
Win Rate
64%
Wallet P&L
+$66,917,520
Analysis
- A trader with 77,975 resolved bets is up about $58.8M overall and has a 64% win rate.
- The $11,099 Michelsen bet is more than 11 times the market’s 24-hour volume.
- The 81¢ entry is close to the current 80% odds, so the main signal is the trader’s track record and sizable position.
Copy Trade
Buy Alex Michelsen at 81¢
Detected October 19, 2026 at 12:48 PM