Large YES bet in a quiet market
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 5-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "5 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
A $1,261 YES position exceeded ten times the market’s 24-hour volume and the indicated odds have since risen from 68% to 79%, though the wallet’s record does not establish a strong edge.
Total
$1,261
Trades
1
Win Rate
57%
Wallet P&L
+$93,019
Analysis
- The $1,261 YES bet was over 10 times the market’s $122 in 24-hour volume.
- The trader entered at 68¢, while current odds are 79%; the wallet is up $86,913 across 1,551 resolved bets.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 68¢
Detected October 23, 2026 at 8:30 AM