Profitable serial trader in thin market

In the upcoming Chinese Super League game, scheduled for October 24 at 3:30 AM ET: This market will resolve to "Chengdu Rongcheng FC" if Chengdu Rongcheng FC win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Dalian Yingbo FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on csl-china.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A highly experienced, historically profitable trader placed a $1,858 bet that represents about 63% of the market's 24-hour volume, though the entry matches the current 90% odds.
Total
$1,859
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$12,208,461
Analysis
- The wallet has made nearly $10M across more than 154,000 resolved trades, though its 70% win rate is not clearly above its average winning odds.
- The $1,858 buy is about 63% of this market's 24-hour volume, where the order book is thin.
- Dalian Yingbo was bought at 90¢, matching the market's current 90% odds.
Copy Trade
Buy Dalian Yingbo FC at 90¢
Detected October 24, 2026 at 8:58 AM