Event trader behind a sharp repricing

In the upcoming game, scheduled for October 25, 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
The 46¢ Yes entry coincided with a 38-point price jump, supported by the wallet's positions across three markets in the same event.
Total
$1,401
Trades
1
Win Rate
70%
Wallet P&L
+$12,221,734
Analysis
- A $1,401 Yes buy at 46¢ was followed by a 38-point price jump.
- The wallet also traded three markets tied to the event, with about $9,600 in combined activity.
- Its lifetime P&L is +$10.9M, though its 70% win rate versus a 77¢ average winning entry is not clear evidence of an edge.
Copy Trade
Buy Yes at 46¢
Detected October 25, 2026 at 4:05 PM