Profitable whale moves a thin market

In the upcoming DFB-Pokal game between FC Bayern München and 1. FC Magdeburg, scheduled for October 28 at 3:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if FC Bayern München score 5 or more goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If FC Bayern München score less than 5 goals within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Under". This market is based solely on FC Bayern München's score, not the combined score of both teams. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A large $1,503 buy in a thin market coincided with a rapid 23.5-point price rise, though the wallet's win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning entry price.
Total
$1,503
Trades
1
Win Rate
69%
Wallet P&L
+$11,689,284
Analysis
- A $1,503 buy at 50¢ coincided with a 23.5-point rise in about five minutes.
- The market had only $397 in reported 24-hour volume, so this trade was large relative to its activity.
- The wallet has a long history and substantial reported profits, but its 68% win rate alone does not establish an edge at its average 61¢ winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy Over at 50¢
Detected October 28, 2026 at 9:18 PM