Large bettor in a thin market

In the upcoming MLS game, scheduled for October 28 at 10:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Vancouver Whitecaps FC" if Vancouver Whitecaps FC win the game by 4 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "San Diego FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on mlssoccer.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
A $1,614 bet dwarfs the market’s $3 in 24-hour volume, making it a notable position in a thinly traded MLS spread market, though the wallet’s history does not show a clear odds-adjusted edge.
Total
$1,614
Trades
1
Win Rate
58%
Wallet P&L
+$1,215,930
Analysis
- The $1,614 buy is over 500 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume.
- The wallet has over 120,000 resolved bets and is up $1.18M lifetime, but its 58% win rate does not clearly beat its average 70¢ winning entry price.
Copy Trade
Buy San Diego FC at 87¢
Detected October 29, 2026 at 12:14 AM