Bettor scaling into No

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress. If an actress is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actress when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The bettor added $1,300 to an existing No position in a very quiet, thin market, showing notable conviction despite a track record that does not clearly establish an edge.
Total
$1,411
Trades
1
Win Rate
65%
Wallet P&L
+$16,261
Analysis
- This bettor added $1,300 to an existing No position, bringing their investment on that outcome to about $3,131.
- The trade was 130 times the market’s reported 24-hour volume, and the odds have since moved toward No.
- The wallet has 262 resolved bets and is up about $13,816, though its 65% win rate does not clearly exceed its average winning price.
Copy Trade
Buy No at 71¢
Detected October 31, 2026 at 4:52 PM